The next quarterly forecasting meeting of the International Institute of Forecasters (UK Chapter) will be hosted by the Oxford India Centre for Sustainable Development (OICSD). As usual this will be run in a hybrid format. We can now share the agenda for the day – please see below. Participants who plan to attend in person need to register latest by midday on 8 Feb, as we need to pass on the names of registered participants to the college reception to be allowed entry.

Arrival and welcome: * 13:00 – Arrival at the location. * 13:15 – Welcome.
Session 1 * 13:30 – Probabilistic Forecast Aggregation with Statistical Depth. James Taylor, Prof of Decision Sciences at Said Business School, University of Oxford. * 14:00 – Angular Combining of Forecasts of Probability Distributions. Xiaochun Meng, Senior Lecturer in Finance at University of Sussex Business School. * 14:30 – Translating Grid Substations Data into Actionable Information via Non-intrusive Load Monitoring. Elnaz Azizi, AI in Science Postdoctoral Fellow, Energy & Power Group, Engineering Science, University of Oxford.

15:00 – Coffee/tea break
Session 2 * 15:15 – TBC. * 15:45 – Using Bayesian Nonparametrics to Estimate the Time-varying Reproduction Number in Infectious Disease Outbreaks. Ben Lambert, Academic Director, Schmidt AI in Science, University of Oxford.
16:15 – TBC.
16:45 – Open discussion and planning for future QFFs.
17:00 – Close.