Exchange rate pass-through: What has changed since the crisis?
Abstract:
We study how exchange rate pass-through to CPI inflation has changed since the global financial crisis. We have three main findings. First, exchange rate pass-through in emerging economies decreased after the financial crisis, while exchange rate pass-through in advanced economies has remained relatively low and stable over time. Second, we show that the declining pass-through in emerging markets is related to declining inflation. Third, we show that it is important to control for non-linearities when estimating exchange rate pass-through. These results hold for both short-run and long-run pass-through and remain robust to extensive changes in the specifications.
Date: 23 January 2018, 13:00
Venue: Manor Road Building, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
Venue Details: Seminar Room B
Speaker: Ricchild Moessner (BIS)
Organising department: Department of Economics
Part of: Macroeconomics Working Group
Booking required?: Not required
Audience: Members of the University only
Editors: Erin Saunders, Anne Pouliquen