Paola Conconi: Trade Protection Along Supply Chains (with Chad Bown, Aksel Erbahar, and Lorenzo Trimarchi)
Please note this seminar will be in the Skills Lab for Week 5 only.
During the last decades, the United States has applied increasingly high trade protec tion against China. We combine detailed information on US antidumping (AD) duties — the most widely used trade barrier — with US input-output data to study the effects of trade protection against China along supply chains. To deal with endogeneity con cerns, we propose a new instrument for AD duties, which combines exogenous variation in the political importance of industries across electoral terms with their historical ex perience in AD proceedings. We estimate the effects of protection on directly exposed and indirectly exposed (downstream and upstream) industries. We find that AD duties have a net negative impact on US jobs: they reduce employment growth in downstream industries, with no significant effects in protected and upstream industries. We pro vide evidence for the mechanisms behind the negative effects of protection along supply chains: AD duties decrease imports and raise prices in protected industries, increasing production costs in downstream industries.
Date: 11 November 2021, 12:30 (Thursday, 5th week, Michaelmas 2021)
Venue: Manor Road Building, Manor Road OX1 3UQ
Venue Details: Skills Lab or Join Zoom online https://zoom.us/j/92355383193?pwd=M3ROcWQxK29wNzliVU4zV2pqRXRYZz09
Speaker: Paola Conconi (Université Libre de Bruxelles)
Organising department: Department of Economics
Part of: Department of Economics Seminar
Booking required?: Not required
Audience: Members of the University only
Editor: Emma Heritage