Unravelling Deep Integration: Local Labour Market Effects of the Brexit Vote
This paper uses high frequency data on the near universe of job adverts posted online in the UK to study the impact of the Brexit referendum on local labour markets between January 2015 and December 2019. We develop measures of local labour market exposure to the threat of trade barriers on both goods and services exports if the UK were to leave the EU without a trade deal. We find that regions that were more exposed to potential barriers on professional services exports saw a larger decline in online job adverts in the period after the referendum, particularly for higher skilled jobs. This effect was distinct from the impact of the exchange rate depreciation, uncertainty surrounding future immigration policy and the threat of future barriers on trade in goods.

Link to paper: users.ox.ac.uk/~econ0247/Brexit.pdf
Date: 17 June 2021, 13:00 (Thursday, 8th week, Trinity 2021)
Venue: Held on Zoom
Speaker: Beata Javorcik (University of Oxford)
Organising department: Department of Economics
Part of: Department of Economics Seminar
Booking required?: Not required
Audience: Members of the University only
Editor: Melis Clark